· From Scenario 2, what are your recommendations on the investment project? Explain your reasoning.
· From Scenario 2, what are your recommendations for investment in the new technology?
1.
Years to maturity |
15 |
||
Face value |
$ 1,000 |
||
a) |
Yield to maturity |
8% |
|
b) |
Yield to maturity |
10% |
|
c) |
Yield to maturity |
12% |
|
Output area: |
|||
a) |
Price |
$315.24 |
|
b) |
Price |
$ 239.39 |
|
c) |
Price |
$ 182.70 |
|
2.
Settlement date |
1/1/2000 |
||
Maturity date |
1/1/2015 |
||
Annual coupon rate |
7.00% |
||
Coupons per year |
2 |
||
a) |
Yield to maturity |
8% |
|
b) |
Yield to maturity |
10% |
|
c) |
Yield to maturity |
12% |
|
Output area: |
|||
a) |
Price |
$ 813.35 |
|
b) |
Price |
$ 672.52 |
|
c) |
Price |
$ 565.05 |
|
3.
Dividend one |
$ 12.00 |
||
Dividend two |
5.00 |
||
Dividend three |
7.00 |
||
Dividend four |
3.00 |
||
Dividend growth rate |
4% |
||
Required return |
15% |
||
Output area: |
|||
Year 4 price |
$ 28.36 |
||
Share price |
$ 36.75 |
4.
Annual cash inflows: |
|||
Year 1 |
$ 6,000 |
||
Year 2 |
5,500 |
||
Year 3 |
7,000 |
||
Year 4 |
8,000 |
||
Discount rate |
14% |
||
Initial cost |
$ 15,000 |
||
. |
|||
Output area: |
|||
Discounted payments: |
|||
Year 1 |
$ 3.16 |
||
Year 2 |
$ 2.53 |
||
Year 3 |
$ 3.38 |
||
Year 4 |
|||
Payback period |
9.07 |
||
5.
Cost of new machine |
$ 16,000,000 |
||||||
Old machine book value |
$ 5,000,000 |
||||||
Old machine market value |
$ 5,000,000 |
||||||
Years of operation |
5 |
||||||
Saved operating costs |
$ 5,700,000 |
||||||
Net working capital |
$ 300,000 |
||||||
Required return |
12% |
||||||
Tax rate |
39% |
||||||
*Depreciation straight-line |
|||||||
Output area: |
|||||||
Buy new machine |
Keep old machine |
Incremental |
|||||
Initial cash outlay: |
|||||||
Purchase new machine |
$ 16,000,000 |
$ 16,000,000 |
|||||
Net working capital |
300,000 |
300,000 |
|||||
Sell (buy) old machine |
5000000 |
5000000 |
|||||
Taxes on old machine |
10000000 |
10000000 |
|||||
Total |
$ 11,300,000 |
$ 11,300,000 |
|||||
Incremental cash flows |
|||||||
Operating expense |
$ 5,700,000 |
0 |
$ 5,700,000 |
||||
Depreciation |
(3,200,000) |
$ (1,666,667) |
($1,533,333) |
||||
EBT |
$ 2,500,000 |
$ (1,666,667) |
$ 4,166,667 |
||||
Taxes |
(975,000) |
(650,000) |
(1,625,000) |
||||
Net income |
$ 1,525,000 |
$ (1,016,667) |
$ 2,541,667 |
||||
OCF |
$ 4,725,000 |
$ (650,000) |
$ 4,075,000 |
||||
Year |
Cash flow |
Cash flow |
Cash flow |
||||
0 |
$ (11,300,000) |
$ (11,300,000) |
|||||
1 |
4,725,000 |
(650,000) |
4,075,000 |
||||
2 |
4,725,000 |
(650,000) |
4,075,000 |
||||
3 |
4,725,000 |
(650,000) |
4,075,000 |
||||
4 |
5,025,000 |
5,025,000 |
|||||
NPV |
$ 902,796.00 |
$ (2,656,895.00) |
$ 3,559,691.00 |
||||
IRR |
14.20% |
-12.83% |
23.96 |
||||
Basis the analysis given in the question as we can see the NPV of buying new machine is positive and much more than NPV of keeping the old machine which is negetive. The decsision should be to buy the new machine, the incremental analysis also shows the same as it is also positive.
If we see the IRR, for buying the new machine option the IRR is positive and is 14.2% which is more than required return of 12% where as IRR of keeping the old machine is negetive hence IRR method also says that new machine should be bought.
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