Earnings Inc. just paid a dividend of $4.05 per share. It should grow at a rate of 17% for each of the next two years, then 10% the year after and settle down to a growth rate of 5% per year thereafter. Its beta is 1.2, the market risk premium is 7.6% and T-bills trade at 2%.
What is the time-3 present value of all cash flows from time 4 on into the future?
At what price should Earnings Inc. stock sell today?
Year 1 dividend = 4.05 * 1.17 = 4.7385
Year 2 dividend = 4.7385 * 1.17 = 5.54405
Year 3 dividend = 5.54405 * 1.1 = 6.09845
Year 4 dividend = 6.09845 * 1.05 = 6.40337
Required rate = Risk free rate + beta (market risk premium)
Required rate = 2% + 1.2 (7.6%)
Required rate = 11.12%
1)
Time 3 present value = D4 / required rate - growth rate
Time 3 present value = 6.40337 / 0.1112 - 0.05
Time 3 present value = 6.40337 / 0.0612
Time 3 present value = $104.63
2)
Price = 4.7385 / (1 + 0.1112)1 + 5.54405 / (1 + 0.1112)2 + 6.09845 / (1 + 0.1112)3 + 104.63 / (1 + 0.1112)3
Price = $89.46
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