Part 1: Dallas Star Inc.'s stock has a 40% chance of producing a 5% return, and a 60% chance of producing a 12% return. What is the firm's expected rate of return? What is the firm's Standard Deviation? What is the firm's Coefficient of Variation?
Part 2: Calculate the required rate of return for Dallas Star Inc., assuming that (1) investors expect a 1.5% rate of inflation in the future, (2) the real risk-free rate is 2.0%, (3) expected market return is 8% and (4) the firm has a beta of 1.5. (Hint: You need to find out market risk premium first.)
1)
Expected return = sum of (probability of state * return of state)
= 0.4*0.05 + 0.6*0.12
= 9.2%
E(X^2) = sum of (probability of state * return of state^2)
= 0.4*0.05^2 + 0.6 * 0.12^2
= 0.00964
variance = E(X^2) - (E(X))^2
= 0.00964 - (0.092)^2
= 0.001176
Standard deviation = sqrt(variance)
= sqrt(0.001176)
= 3.43%
coefficient of variation= 0.0343/0.092
= 0.3728
2)
Required return
= risk free rate + inflation + beta * market risk premium
= 0.02 + 0.015 + 1.5 * (0.08-0.02)
= 12.5%
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