State |
Probability |
Return on Security A |
Return on Security B |
Boom |
.6 |
13% |
20% |
Bust |
.4 |
-4.5% |
3% |
What is the expected return on Security A?
A. 4.25%
B. 9.6%
C. 6.0%
D. 12.1 %
E. -1.5
What is the standard deviation of Security A
A. 8.6 %
B. 0.7%
C. 4.2%
D. 8.8%
What is the expected return on Security B
A. 8.8%
B. 9.7%
C. 7.2%
D. 13.2%
E. 11.5%
What is the expected return on a portfolio composed of 25% in Security B
A. 11.9%
B. 9.7%
C. 6.1%
D. 14.5%
E. 11.4%
Sec A | |||||
Scenario | Probability | Return% | =rate of return% * probability | Actual return -expected return(A)% | (A)^2* probability |
Boom | 0.6 | 13 | 7.8 | 7 | 0.00294 |
Bust | 0.4 | -4.5 | -1.8 | -10.5 | 0.00441 |
Expected return %= | sum of weighted return = | 6 | Sum=Variance Sec A= | 0.00735 | |
Standard deviation of Sec A% | =(Variance)^(1/2) | 8.57 | |||
Sec B | |||
Scenario | Probability | Return% | =rate of return% * probability |
Boom | 0.6 | 20 | 12 |
Bust | 0.4 | 3 | 1.2 |
Expected return %= | sum of weighted return = | 13.2 |
Expected return%= | Wt Sec A*Return Sec A+Wt Sec B*Return Sec B |
Expected return%= | 0.25*6+0.75*13.2 |
Expected return%= | 11.4 |
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