Write out the formula for the constant growth dividend valuation model. What key assumptions are required?
You are interested in buying a share that paid its last annual dividend 9 months ago. You can assume that the next dividend payment (3 months from today) will be €1.50. The company anticipates that dividend growth rates will be 5% annually for the next two dividends and 2% thereafter. Assuming the firm’s cost of equity rE is 9%, how much should you pay for the share?
Constant growth dividend model :
Price =D1/(r-g) where r is the required return and g is the
constant growth rate.
The assumptions are :
The company is a going concern
The rate is constant for both growth and required return over all
the years
The growth rate shall not be equal to the required return
Year | Div | Terminal value | DF | PV |
0 | 1 | |||
1 | 1.5 | 0.917431 | $ 1.38 | |
2 | 1.575 | 0.84168 | $ 1.33 | |
3 | 1.65375 | 24.0975 | 0.772183 | $ 19.88 |
4 | 1.686825 | 0.708425 | ||
Price | $ 22.59 | |||
Now this is the price we have caclulated at year =0 which is 9
months before today
Hence today one shall pay = 22.59*(1.09^(9/12))=$24.11
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