Calculate a stock' standard deviation of its rate of return if
there is a 20% chance of a 30% return, a 20% chance of a 12% return
and a 60% chance of a 10% rate of return?
9.48% |
||
7.84% |
||
8.81% |
||
6.12% |
||
11.14% |
Given that probability and it return on a stock as,
Probaility(p) | rate of return(r) | p*r |
20% | 30% | 0.2*0.3 = 0.06 |
20% | 12% | 0.2*0.12 = 0.024 |
60% | 10% | 0.6*0.1 = 0.06 |
Expected return u | 0.06 + 0.024 + 0.06 = 0.144 |
expected return on the stock = 14.40%
standard deviation is calculated in follwoing table:
Probaility(p) | rate of return(r) | u-r | (x-u)^2 | p*(x-u)^2 |
20% | 30% | 14.4 - 30 = -15.6 | 243.36 | 0.2*243.36 = 48.672 |
20% | 12% | 14.4-12 = 2.4 | 5.76 | 0.2*5.76 = 1.152 |
60% | 10% | 14.4-10 = 4.4 | 19.36 | 0.6*19.36 = 11.616 |
So, sum of p*(x-u)^2 is 48.672 + 1.152 + 11.616 = 61.44
standard deviation = sqrt(p*(x-u)^2) = sqrt(61.44) = 7.84%
option B is correct.
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