OpenSeas, Inc. is evaluating the purchase of a new cruise ship. The ship would cost $499 million, but would operate for 20 years. OpenSeas expects annual cash flows from operating the ship to be $71.3 million (at the end of each year) and its cost of capital is 12.5%
a. Prepare an NPV profile of the purchase using discount rates of 2.0%, 11.5% and 17.0%.
b. Identify the IRR on a graph.
c. Is the purchase attractive based on these estimates?
d. How far off could OpenSeas' cost of capital estimate be before your purchase decision would change? (NOTE: Subtract the discount rate from the actual IRR. Use Excel to compute the actual IRR.)
Millions | ||
Cost | Year 0 | -499.0 |
Annual CFs | Years 1 - 20 | 71.3 |
Year 1 | 71.3 | |
year 2 | 71.3 | |
Year 3 | 71.3 | |
Year 4 | 71.3 | |
Year 5 | 71.3 | |
Year 6 | 71.3 | |
Year 7 | 71.3 | |
Year 8 | 71.3 | |
Year 9 | 71.3 | |
Year 10 | 71.3 | |
Year 11 | 71.3 | |
Year 12 | 71.3 | |
Year 13 | 71.3 | |
Year 14 | 71.3 | |
Year 15 | 71.3 | |
Year 16 | 71.3 | |
Year 17 | 71.3 | |
Year 18 | 71.3 | |
Year 19 | 71.3 | |
Year 20 | 71.3 | |
Periods | 20 | |
COC | 12.50% |
PV | $17.31 |
Formula used:
=PV(COC,Periods,-Annual CFs)+Cost |
a.
b.
The IRR is the point before NPV becomes zero. In this case, the IRR is the point where the Orange line and the Blue line cross (~13%).
c.
Yes, given that NPV is positive, the purchase is attractive.
d.
IRR = 13.1%
Formula used: =IRR(Cost:CFs (20 years))
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