EXPECTED RETURN A stock's returns have the following distribution:
|
Expected Sales=Respective sales*Respective probability
=(0.2*-24)+(0.2*-12)+(0.4*16)+(0.1*22)+(0.1*70)=8.4%
probability | Return | probability*(Return-Expected Return)^2 |
0.2 | -24 | 0.2*(-24-8.4)^2=209.952 |
0.2 | -12 | 0.2*(-12-8.4)^2=83.232 |
0.4 | 16 | 0.4*(16-8.4)^2=23.104 |
0.1 | 22 | 01*(22-8.4)^2=18.496 |
0.1 | 70 | 0.1*(70-8.4)^2=379.456 |
Total=714.24% |
Standard deviation=[Total probability*(Return-Expected Return)^2/Total probability]^(1/2)
=26.73%(Approx).
Coefficient of variation=Standard deviation/Expected Return
=(26.73/8.4)=3.18(Approx).
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