Risk classes and RADR Moses Manufacturing is attempting to select the best of three mutually exclusive projects, X, Y, and Z. Although all the projects have
5
-year
lives, they possess differing degrees of risk. Project X is in class V, the highest-risk class; project Y is in class II, the below-average-risk class; and project Z is in class III, the average-risk class. The basic cash flow data for each project and the risk classes and risk-adjusted discount rates (RADRs) used by the firm are shown in the following tables
Project X | Project Y | Project Z | |
Initial Investment (CF0) | 177000 | 237000 | 311000 |
Year (t) | Cash inflows | ||
1 | 81000 | 59000 | 95000 |
2 | 70000 | 70000 | 95000 |
3 | 62000 | 78000 | 95000 |
4 | 63000 | 81000 | 95000 |
5 | 65000 | 99000 | 95000 |
Risk Classes and RADRs |
||
Risk Class |
Description |
Risk adjusted discount rate (RADR) |
I |
Lowest risk |
10.4 % |
II |
Below-average risk |
13.3 |
III |
Average risk |
15.1 |
IV |
Above-average risk |
19.2 |
V |
Highest risk |
22.1 |
a. Find the risk-adjusted NPV for each project.
b. Which project, if any, would you recommend that the firm undertake?
For each project we will calculate the NPV using risk adjusted discout rate
Project X = 22.1%
Project Y = 13.3%
Project Z = 15.1%
Project X | Cash Flow | PV @ 22.1% |
Initial Investment (CF0) | -177,000 | -177,000 |
Year (t) | ||
1 | 81,000 | 66,339 |
2 | 70,000 | 46,953 |
3 | 62,000 | 34,060 |
4 | 63,000 | 28,345 |
5 | 65,000 | 23,952 |
Risk Adjusted NPV | 22,649 |
Project Y | Cash Flow | PV @ 13.3% |
Initial Investment (CF0) | -237,000 | -237,000 |
Year (t) | ||
1 | 59,000 | 52,074 |
2 | 70,000 | 54,530 |
3 | 78,000 | 53,630 |
4 | 81,000 | 49,155 |
5 | 99,000 | 53,026 |
Risk Adjusted NPV | 25,414 |
Project Z | Cash Flow | PV @ 15.1% |
Initial Investment (CF0) | -311,000 | -311,000 |
Year (t) | ||
1 | 95,000 | 82,537 |
2 | 95,000 | 71,709 |
3 | 95,000 | 62,301 |
4 | 95,000 | 54,128 |
5 | 95,000 | 47,027 |
Risk Adjusted NPV | 6,702 |
Since Projects are mutually exclusive firm should accept project with highest NPV ie Project Y
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