Covan, Inc. is expected to have the following free cash flow:
Year |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
times••• |
FCF |
12 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
Grow by 4%per year |
a. Covan has 88 million shares outstanding, $22 million in excess cash, and it has no debt. If its cost of capital is 13% what should be its stock price?
b. Covan adds its FCF to cash, and has no plans to add debt. If you plan to sell Covan at the beginning of year 2, what is its expected price?
c. Assume you bought Covan stock at the beginning of year 1. What is your expected return from holding Covan stock until year 2?
a. Covan has 88 million shares outstanding, $22 million in excess cash, and it has no debt. If its cost of capital is 13%, what should be its stock price?
The stock price should be $$??? (Round to the nearest cent.)
b. Covan adds its FCF to cash, and has no plans to add debt. If you plan to sell Covan at the beginning of year 2, what is its expected price?
If you plan to sell Covan at the beginning of year 2, its price should be $$$$??? (Round to the nearest cent.)
c. Assume you bought Covan stock at the beginning of year 1. What is your expected return from holding Covan stock until year 2? Your expected return from holding Covan stock until the beginning of year 2 is ?????%.(Round to one decimal place.)
a) Terminal Value in year 4 (TV) = FCF4 / (r - g) = 16 x (1 + 4%) / (13% - 2%) = $151.27 million
Value today = FCF1 / (1 + r) + FCF2 / (1 + r)^2 + FCF3 / (1 + r)^3 + (FCF4 + TV) / (1 + r)^4
= 12 / 1.13 + 14 / 1.13^2 + 15 / 1.13^3 + (16 + 151.27) / 1.13^4
= $134.57 million
Stock Price = (Value + Cash) / No. of shares = (134.57 + 22) / 88 = $1.78
b) Value 2 years later = 15 / 1.13 + (16 + 151.27) / 1.13^2 = $144.27 million
Stock Price = (144.27 + 22 + 12 + 14) / 88 = $2.18
c) Returns = 2.18 / 1.78 - 1 = 22.80%
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