Suppose that at June 15, 2018, as a staff financial analyst with Consulting Advisory Services (CAS) you determine the following metrics for the upcoming 12-month period for Silva Corporation, Inc. (SCI):
After-tax operating income (aka, NOPAT) is forecast to be $400 million.
SCI’s depreciation expense is forecast at $140 million.
SCI’s capital expenditures (aka, CAPEX) is forecast to be $225 million.
No change is expected in SCI’s net operating working capital.
SCI’s free cash flow is forecast to grow at a constant rate of 6% per year.
You assess SCI’s required return on equity at 14% based on its operating and financial risks.
SCI’s WACC is 10%.
The market value of SCI’s debt is $3.875 billion.
SCI reports 200 million shares of common stock are outstanding.
TASK: Please -
Use the information above to estimate the “intrinsic value per share” (aka, estimated market price per share) of SCI’s common stock at June 15, 2018.
Computation of Intrinsic Value per share:
Free Cash Flow = NOPAT + Depreciation - Capital Expenses
Free Cash Flow = $400 M + $140 M - $225 M
Free Cash Flow = $315 M
Value of Company = FCF * (1 + Growth Rate) / WACC - Growth Rate
Value of Company = $315M * (1 + 0.06) / 0.10 - 0.06
Value of Company = $333.9 M / 0.10 - 0.06
Value of Company = $8347.5 M
Value of Equity = Value of Company - Value of Debt
Value of Equity = $8.3475 B - 3.8750 B
Value of Equity = $4472.5 Million
Intrinsic Value per share = Value of Equity / Common Stock O/s
Intrinsic Value per share = $4472.5 M / 200 M
Intrinsic Value per share = $22.3625 per share
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