Neil is evaluating a Parrott Inc using dividend discount model. He has analyzed past dividends, earnings per share and payout ratios and has summarized the following info: Most recent dividend was $1.94 per share Most recent EPS was $6.45 EPS growth is 8% per year Dividend payout is stable at 30% Beta is 2.3 Risk free rate is 1.8% Market risk premium is 6.1%. What is the fair price for this stock?
Solution:- Calculation of the Required Rate of Return (Re)
Re = Rf + (Rm-Rf)*Beta
Where, Rf = Risk free Return
(Rm-Rf) = Market Risk Premium
Therefore, Re= 1.8% + 6.1% * 2.3
Re = 15.83%
Calculation of fair price of Stock
Price = D1 / ( Re-g)
Where , D1 is the Next expected dividend
g is the Growth Rate
Re is the Required Rate of Return
D1 = Dividend * (1+growth)
=1.94 * 1.08 = 2.10 ,
or
= [Earnings * (1+growth)] * 30%
= [6.45 * 1.08)*30% = 2.10
Price = 2.10 / (15.83% - 8%)
= 2.10 / 7.83%
= $ 26.82
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