The Yubaba Company has so far not paid a dividend on its stock. Investors believe that the Company won’t pay a dividend next year, but that it will pay dividends starting two years from now. The dividend then is expected to be $0.20 per share. Three years from now the dividend is expected to be $0.50 per share, and four years from now it’s expected to be $0.75 per share. Thereafter the dividend is expected to grow at a constant rate = 4% per year. Investors require a minimum annual rate of return on Yubaba stock = 13%. a) What is your estimate of Yubaba’s stock price four years from now? b) What is your estimate of Yubaba’s stock price today?
Year | Dividend (i) | PVF(13%, n) (ii) | Present value of dividends (i) x (ii) |
2 | 0.20 | 0.783 | 0.1566 |
3 | 0.50 | 0.693 | 0.3465 |
4 | 0.75 | 0.613 | 0.4598 |
Total | 0.963 |
D5 = D4 (1 + g)
where.
D5 = Dividend in 5th year
D4 = Dividend in 4th year
g = Growth rate in dividends
D5 = 0.75 (1 + 0.04)
= 0.75 x 1.04
= $0.78
$0.963 is the present value of dividends expected from the company for first 4 years.
P4 = D5/(Ke - g)
= 0.78/(0.13 - 0.04)
= 0.78/0.09
= $8.67
(a) Hence, 4 years from now, Yubaba stock will be $8.67
(b) Present value of share = Present value of dividends + Present value of share after 4 years
= 0.963 + 8.67 x 0.613
= 0.963 + 5.31
= $6.28
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