Question

Halliford Corporation expects to have earnings this coming year of $ 3.24 per share. Halliford plans to retain all of its earnings for the next two years. For the subsequent two years, the firm will retain 53% of its earnings. It will then retain 23 % of its earnings from that point onward. Each year, retained earnings will be invested in new projects with an expected return of 24.16 % per year. Any earnings that are not retained will be paid out as dividends. Assume Halliford's share count remains constant and all earnings growth comes from the investment of retained earnings. If Halliford's equity cost of capital is 10.2 % what price would you estimate for Halliford stock? The price per share is $nothingm. (Round to the nearest cent.)

Answer 1

Halliford’s dividend forecast (g = retention rate × return on new investment)

Year	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
Earnings
1).EPS Growth Rate (vs. prior yr)			24.16%	24.16%	12.8048%	12.8048%	5.5568%
2). EPS		$3.24	$4.023	$4.995	$5.6342	$6.3557	$6.7089
Dividends
3). Retention Ratio		100%	100%	53%	53%	23%	23%
4). Dividend Payout Ratio		0%	0%	47%	47%	77%	77%

Dividends(2 x 4) $0 $0    $2.3475 $2.6481 $4.8939 $5.1658

From year 5 on, dividends grow at constant rate of 5.5568%. Therefore,

P(5) = D6 / (r - gC) = $5.1658 / (10.2% - 5.5568%) = $4.9834 / 0.046432 = $111.25

P(0) = [D3 / (1 + r)³] + [D4 / (1 + r)⁴] + [(D5 + P5) / (1 + r)⁵]

= [$2.3475 / 1.102³] + [$2.6481 / 1.102⁴] + [($4.8939 + $111.25) / 1.102⁵]

= $1.75 + $1.80 + $71.47 = $75.02