Nonconstant growth rate:
d0= $1.75
g1= 4% for 3 years
g2= 5% for 4 years
g3= 3% thereafter
r= 8.5%
P=?
If you could include a timeline as well as the steps that would be great.
As per dividend growth model, current price of stock is the present value of future dividends. | ||||||||||
Step-1:Present value of dividend of next 7 years | ||||||||||
Year | Dividend | Discount factor | Present value | |||||||
a | b | c=1.085^-a | d=b*c | |||||||
1 | $ 1.82 | 0.921659 | $ 1.68 | |||||||
2 | $ 1.89 | 0.849455 | $ 1.61 | |||||||
3 | $ 1.97 | 0.782908 | $ 1.54 | |||||||
4 | $ 2.07 | 0.721574 | $ 1.49 | |||||||
5 | $ 2.17 | 0.665045 | $ 1.44 | |||||||
6 | $ 2.28 | 0.612945 | $ 1.40 | |||||||
7 | $ 2.39 | 0.564926 | $ 1.35 | |||||||
Total | $ 10.51 | |||||||||
Working: | ||||||||||
Dividend of year: | ||||||||||
1 | = | $ 1.75 | x | 1.04 | = | $ 1.82 | ||||
2 | = | $ 1.82 | x | 1.04 | = | $ 1.89 | ||||
3 | = | $ 1.89 | x | 1.04 | = | $ 1.97 | ||||
4 | = | $ 1.97 | x | 1.05 | = | $ 2.07 | ||||
5 | = | $ 2.07 | x | 1.05 | = | $ 2.17 | ||||
6 | = | $ 2.17 | x | 1.05 | = | $ 2.28 | ||||
7 | = | $ 2.28 | x | 1.05 | = | $ 2.39 | ||||
Step-2:Present value of dividends after year 7 | ||||||||||
Present value | = | D7*(1+g)/(K-g)*DF7 | Where, | |||||||
= | $ 25.31 | D7 | Dividend of year 7 | $ 2.39 | ||||||
g | Growth after year 7 | 3% | ||||||||
K | Required rate of return | 8.50% | ||||||||
DF7 | Discount factor of year 7 | 0.564926 | ||||||||
Step-3:Present value of all dividends | ||||||||||
Present value of all dividends | = | $ 10.51 | + | $ 25.31 | ||||||
= | $ 35.82 | |||||||||
Present value of all dividends is $ 35.82. | ||||||||||
So, current price(P) of stock is | $ 35.82 | |||||||||
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