What is the expected return of an equally weighted portfolio comprised of the following three stocks?
State of Economy |
Probability of State of Economy |
Rate of Return if State Occurs |
||||||||||
Stock A |
Stock B |
Stock C |
||||||||||
Boom |
.25 |
.19 |
.13 |
.07 |
||||||||
Normal |
.72 |
.15 |
.05 |
.13 |
||||||||
Bust |
.03 |
− |
.29 |
− |
.14 |
.22 |
A. |
9.82 percent |
|
B. |
9.48 percent |
|
C. |
10.96 percent |
|
D. |
10.37 percent |
Ans c) 10.96 percent
State | Probability | Stock A Return | Stock A Return * Probability | Stock B Return | Stock B Return * Probability | Stock C Return | Stock C Return * Probability |
Boom | 25.00% | 19.00% | 4.75% | 13.00% | 3.25% | 7.00% | 1.75% |
Normal | 72.00% | 15.00% | 10.80% | 5.00% | 3.60% | 13.00% | 9.36% |
Bust | 3.00% | -29.00% | -0.87% | -14.00% | -0.42% | 22.00% | 0.66% |
Total | 14.68% | Total | 6.43% | Total | 11.77% | ||
Stock | Probability | Return | Return * Probability | ||||
A | 33.33% | 14.68% | 4.89% | ||||
B | 33.33% | 6.43% | 2.14% | ||||
C | 33.33% | 11.77% | 3.92% | ||||
Total | 10.96% |
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