A project is determined to have equal probability of generating $3 million annually or $1 million annually for six years. The initial investment is $8 million. The expected return on Treasury bills is 2 percent and the market return is 10 percent. What is the highest project beta that will justify acceptance of the project?
step 1, calculate the IRR
Year | cashflow |
0 | -8 |
1 | 2 |
2 | 2 |
3 | 2 |
4 | 2 |
5 | 2 |
6 | 2 |
IRR | 13% |
Year | cashflow |
0 | -8 |
1 | =(3*50%)+(1*50%) |
2 | =(3*50%)+(1*50%) |
3 | =(3*50%)+(1*50%) |
4 | =(3*50%)+(1*50%) |
5 | =(3*50%)+(1*50%) |
6 | =(3*50%)+(1*50%) |
IRR | =IRR(B2:B8,10%) |
As per CAPM
Expected Return = Risk free Rate + beta x Market Risk premium
13% = 2% + beta x (10%-2%)
13% = 2% + 8% beta
13%-2% / 8% = beta
Beta =1.375
Therefore, highest project beta that will justify acceptance of the project is 1.375
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