Let's suppose you have $1 million to invest.
You are considering to invest in UK first, then convert the British Pound back to US$ in the future.
You know the following information:
The annual Interest rate on investment in UK: 4%
Investment period: 1 year
Current exchange rate: 1.48 $/BP
Forward exchange rate which you can apply when converting BP to US$: 1.47 $/BP
What would be profit if you apply the covered-interest arbitrage?
A) About $40,542
B) None of the above
C) About $48,382
D) About $24,254
Solution :-
First Convert $1,000,000 into Pound at $1.48/pound
= $1,000,000 / $1.48
= Pound 675,675.67
Now invest pound at 4% per year
Pound after a year =
= 675,675.67 * 1.04 = Pound 702,702.703
Now convert pound in dollar at $1.47/ pound
Now = 702,702.703 * 1.47 = $1,032,972.97
As no interest of US given assume zero.
Covered interest arbitrage = $1,032,972.97 - $1,000, 000 = $32,972.97
Therefore correct answer is (b) none of the above
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