Consider the following information:
State Probability Stock A Stock B Stock C
Boom 0.32 -0.13 -0.01 -0.05
Bust 0.68 -0.09 0.21 0.02
What is the expected return of a portfolio that has invested $7,440 in Stock A, $14,764 in Stock B, and $17,508 in Stock C? (Hint: calculate weights of each stock first). Enter the answer with 4 decimals (e.g. 0.1234).
Answer :
Expected Return of A = Sum of (Probability * Weight)
= [(-0.13) * 0.32] + [(-0.09) * 0.68]
= [(-0.0416)] + [(-0.0612)]
= (-0.1028)
Expected Return of B = Sum of (Probability * Weight)
= [(-0.01) * 0.32] + [(0.21) * 0.68]
= [(-0.0032)] + [(0.1428)]
= 0.1396
Expected Return of C = Sum of (Probability * Weight)
= [(-0.05) * 0.32] + [(0.02) * 0.68]
= [(-0.016)] + [(0.0136)]
= (-0.0024)
Weight of Stock = Value invested / Total Value
Expected Return of portfolio = (Expected Return of Stock A * Weight of Stock A) + (Expected Return of Stock B * Weight of Stock B) + (Expected Return of Stock C * Weight of Stock C)
= [(-0.1028)* (7440 / 39712)] + [0.1396 * (14764 / 39712)] + [(-0.0024 * (17508 / 39712)]
= (-0.01925946817) + [0.0519] + (-0.0010580983)
= 0.0316
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