Qa) Holding period return= ending price - beginning price + dividend/ beginning price
= 40.77 - 65.14 + 1.85 / 65.14
= - 22.52 / 65.14
= -0.3457 or -34.57%
Qb) Expected return = probability of recession × return in recession + probability of normal × return in normal + probability of expansion × return in expansion
= 0.30 × -19% + 0.5 × 7% + 0.20 × 17%
= -5.7% + 3.5% + 3.4%
= 1.2%
Qc) As per CAPM,
Expected return = risk free rate + beta (market risk premium)
= 1.9% + 0.6 (5.4%)
= 1.9% + 3.24%
= 5.14%
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