1.is the stock market absolutely efficient? 2.if market is efficient, January Effect should not exist. Do you agree?
1. No, the stock market is not absolutely efficient. Efficient market hypothesis assumes many things that may not hold good in the real world. For example, it assumes that all the investors behave rationally, which is not always true. Due to fear and greed, investors may not behave rationally, during which times value investors like Warren Buffett take great advantage.
2. Yes, I agree that, if the market were efficient, then the January Effect would not have existed. According to the January effect, stock prices increase because of the increase in buying activity. In an efficient market, the prices would reflect the fundamentals of the company and the prices would incorporate all the publicly available information.
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