Flyers, Inc., reported an EPS of $4.6 this year (t0). Flyers is expected to maintain a retained earnings ratio of 0.5 and ROE of 0.18 for the next four years. After the fourth year, ROE is expected to decrease to 0.05. Applying the cost of equity of 0.11 and the multi-stage growth model, compute the intrinsic price of Flyers.
Year | expected EPS | ||
0 | 4.6 | 4.6 | |
1 | 4.6*1.05 | 4.83 | |
2 | 4.6*1.05^2 | 5.0715 | |
3 | 4.6*1.05^3 | 5.325075 | |
4 | 4.6*1.05^4 | 5.5913288 | |
5 | 5.591*(1-.05) | 5.3117623 | |
terminal value | Expected EPS in year 5/(required rate of equity-growth rate) | 5.311/(11%-(-5%)) | 33.19 |
Year | cash flow | present value of cash flow = cash flow/(1+r)^n r =18% | |
1 | 4.83 | 4.0932203 | |
2 | 5.0715 | 3.6422723 | |
3 | 5.325075 | 3.241005 | |
4 | 5.5913288 | 2.8839452 | |
33.19375 | 17.120967 | ||
Intrinsic value of stock | sum of present value of cash flow | 30.98 |
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