HAND CALCULATIONS ONLY. NO EXCEL
Pepsico’s most recent dividend was $1. The dividend next year is expected to increase 10%. The dividend is expected to continue growing at 10% for two addition years after that. After these three years of strong growth, the stock is then expected to grow at a constant 4% thereafter. Calculate the intrinsic value using the multi-stage dividend discount model. Pepsico’s required rate of return is 8%.
D0 = 1 | |||||
D 1 = 1.00 + 10% = 1.1 | |||||
D 2 = 1.1 +10% = 1.21 | |||||
d 3 = 1.21 + 10% = 1.33 | |||||
D 4 = 1.33 + 4% = 1.38 | |||||
Horizon value at year-3 = D 4 / (Required rate-Growth rate) | |||||
1.38 / (8-4)% = 34.50 | |||||
Intrinsic value | |||||
Year | Cashflows | PVF at 8% | Present value | ||
1 | 1.1 | 0.9259259 | 1.018519 | ||
2 | 1.21 | 0.8573388 | 1.03738 | ||
3 | 1.33 | 0.7938322 | 1.055797 | ||
3 | 34.5 | 0.7350299 | 25.35853 | ||
Intrinsic value | 28.47 | ||||
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