The Mosco Manufacture is attempting to select the best of three mutually exclusive projects: X,Y, and Z. Although all the projects have 5-year lives, they possess differing degrees of risk. Project X is in class, V, the highest risk class; project Y is in class II, the below-average-risk class; project Z is in class III, the average-risk class.
The basic cash flow data for each project and the risk classes and risk-adjusted discount rate (RADR) used by the firm are shown in the following tables:
Project |
X |
Y |
Z |
Initial Investment |
-180,000 |
-$235,000 |
-$310,000 |
Year (t) |
Cash flows |
Cash flows |
Cash flows |
1 |
80,000 |
50,000 |
90,000 |
2 |
70,000 |
60,000 |
90,000 |
3 |
60,000 |
70,000 |
90,000 |
4 |
60,000 |
80,000 |
90,000 |
5 |
60,000 |
90,000 |
90,000 |
Risk Classes |
Description |
RADR |
I |
Lowest Risk |
10% |
II |
Below-average Risk |
13% |
III |
Average Risk |
15% |
IV |
Above-average Risk |
19% |
V |
Highest Risk |
22% |
a) Find the risk-adjusted NPV for each project (X,Y,Z).
b.) Which project, if any, would you recommend that the firm undertake?
a. Project X:
Year | Cash Flows | PV factor at 22 % | Present Values |
0 | $ ( 180,000) | 1.0000 | $ ( 180,000) |
1 | 80,000 | 0.8197 | 65,576 |
2 | 70,000 | 0.6719 | 47,033 |
3 | 60,000 | 0.5507 | 33,042 |
4 | 60,000 | 0.4514 | 27,084 |
5 | 60,000 | 0.3700 | 22,200 |
NPV | $ 14,935 |
Project Y :
Year | Cash Flows | PV factor at 13 % | Present Values |
0 | $ ( 235,000) | 1.0000 | $ ( 235,000) |
1 | 50,000 | 0.8850 | 44,250 |
2 | 60,000 | 0.7831 | 46,986 |
3 | 70,000 | 0.6931 | 48,517 |
4 | 80,000 | 0.6133 | 49,064 |
5 | 90,000 | 0.5428 | 48,852 |
NPV | $ 2,669 |
Project Z :
NPV = $ 90,000 x [ { 1 - ( 1 / 1.15 ) 5 } / 0.15 ] - $ 310,000 = $ 90,000 x 3.3522 - $ 310,000 = $ ( 8,302 )
b. It is recommended that the firm should undertake Project X, as its NPV is the highest.
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