A beauty product company is developing a new fragrance named
Happy Forever. There is a probability of 0.52 that consumers will
love Happy Forever, and in this case, annual sales will be 1.07
million bottles; a probability of 0.38 that consumers will find the
smell acceptable and annual sales will be 170,000 bottles; and a
probability of 0.10 that consumers will find the smell unpleasant
and annual sales will be only 53,000 bottles. The selling price is
$38, and the variable cost is $10 per bottle. Fixed production
costs will be $1.03 million per year, and depreciation will be
$1.15 million. Assume that the marginal tax rate is 40 percent.
What are the expected annual incremental after-tax free cash flows
from the new fragrance?
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