·Responses to the discussion questions to be between 150
and 250 words long. However, it is fine if your response is a little
longer. What is important is that your response should be clear and
comprehensive, and explain all key point
1. Suppose that you are a foreign exchange trader for a bank based in New York. You are faced with the following market rates:
Arbitrage funds available $ 5,000,000
Spot exchange rate (kr/$). 6.1717 (i.e., 1 dollar = 6.1717 krones)
3-month forward rate (kr/$). 6.1981
U.S. dollar interest rate. 4.000 % per annum
Danish krone interest rate. 4.950 % per annum
Note:
·The maximum amount you may invest is $5,000,000 or its equivalent in Danish
krones.
·Take 3 months to consist of 90 days and a year to consist of 360 days.
a) Is there a Covered Interest Arbitrage (CIA) opportunity here? Explain why or
why not? (4 points)
b) Given the data in part (a), spell out the actions you would take to profit from this
situation. Your response should include step-by-step verbal explanations as well as
detailed calculations.
·Which is the currency in which you would invest?
·What is the forward transaction you would engage in? Specify which
currency you would sell forward and which currency you would buy
forward.
·What is the amount of arbitrage profits? (6 points)
Fair forward Rate as per IRPT = 6.1717(1+0.04950*90/360)/(1+0.04*90/360)
= kr6.1862/Dollar
Since the actual forward rate is different from the fair forward rate, arbitrage opportunity exists.
b.Borrow Kr 5,000,000*6.1717 = Kr30,858,500
Convert into Dollar at spot rate and get $5,000,000
Invest and get 5,000,000 (1.01) = $5,050,000
Convert back into Kr = 5,050,000*6.1981 = kr31,300,405
Repay Loan = 30,858,500*(1+0.04950*90/360) = Kr31,240,373.94
Arbitrage profit = kr60,031.06
·Which is the currency in which you would invest?
Dollar
·What is the forward transaction you would engage in? Specify which
currency you would sell forward and which currency you would buy
forward.
Sell Dollar forward, buy krone
·What is the amount of arbitrage profits?
kr60,031.06
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