Long-term investment decision, payback method Personal Finance Problem: Bill Williams has the opportunity to invest in project A that costs $6,800
today and promises to pay $2,300, $2,600, $2,600, $1,900
and $1,800 over the next 5 years. Or, Bill can invest $6,800 in project B that promises to pay $1,300, $1,300, $1,300, $3,600 and $4,000
over the next 5 years. (Hint: For mixed stream cash inflows, calculate cumulative cash inflows on a year-to-year basis until the initial investment is
recovered.)
a. How long will it take for Bill to recoup his initial investment in project A?
b. How long will it take for Bill to recoup his initial investment in project B?
c. Using the payback period, which project should Bill choose?
d. Do you see any problems with his choice?
Payback period is the time period in which the initial investment in recovered | ||
Project A | ||
Year | Cash Flows | Cumulative Cash flows |
0 | -6800 | -6800 |
1 | 2300 | -4500 |
2 | 2600 | -1900 |
3 | 2600 | 700 |
4 | 1900 | 2600 |
5 | 1800 | 4400 |
Payback period = 2 + 1900/2600 = 2.73 years | ||
Project B | ||
Year | Cash Flows | Cumulative Cash flows |
0 | -6800 | -6800 |
1 | 1300 | -5500 |
2 | 1300 | -4200 |
3 | 1300 | -2900 |
4 | 3600 | 700 |
5 | 4000 | 4700 |
Payback period = 3 + 2900/3600 = 3.81 years | ||
Use Project A, since lower payback period | ||
Yes, since the payback period does not consider cash flows after payback period |
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