Suppose a stock will pay $12 per share dividend in one year's time. The dividend is projected to grow at 8% the following year, and then 4% per year indefinitely after that.
To clarify, dividend at beginning of year 1 (that is, one year from today) is:
$12
Beginning of year 2 (2 years from today) is:
$12 * 1.08
Beginning of year 3 (3 years from today) is:
$12 * 1.08 * 1.04
and a 4% rate of growth every year after that.
The required return is 8%. What is the stock’s price today?
Required rate | 8.00% | ||||||
Year | Previous year dividend | Dividend growth rate | Dividend current year | Horizon value | Total Value | Discount factor | Discounted value |
1 | 0 | 0% | 12 | 12 | 1.08 | 11.1111 | |
2 | 12 | 8% | 12.96 | 336.96 | 349.92 | 1.166 | 300.10292 |
Long term growth rate = | 4% | Value of Stock = | Sum of discounted value = | 311.21 |
Where | |||
Discount factor= | (1+ required rate)^N | ||
Discounted value= | total value/discount factor | ||
Total value = Dividend | + terminal value | ||
Horizon value = year 2 | Dividend *(1+long term gro | wth rate)/( required rate-long | term growth rate) |
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