You are considering making a movie. The movie is expected to cost $ 10.6 million up front and take a year to produce. After that, it is expected to make $ 4.4 million in the year it is released and $ 1.7 million for the following four years. What is the payback period of this investment? If you require a payback period of two years, will you make the movie? Does the movie have positive NPV if the cost of capital is 10.6 %?
a.) what is the payback period?
b.) what is the NPV if the cost of capital is 10.6?%
1)
Cumulative cash flow for year 0 = -10.6
Cumulative cash flow for year 1 = -10.6 + 4.4 = -6.2
Cumulative cash flow for year 2 = -6.2 + 1.7 = -4.5
Cumulative cash flow for year 3 = -4.5 + 1.7 = -2.8
Cumulative cash flow for year 4 = -2.8 + 1.7 = -1.1
Cumulative cash flow for year 5 = -1.1 + 1.7 = 0.6
1.1 / 1.7 = 0.65
Payback perod = 4 + 0.65 = 4.65 years
2)
NPV = Present value of cash inflows - present value of cash outflows
NPV = -10.6 + 4.4 / (1 + 0.106)^1 + 1.7 / (1 + 0.106)^2 + 1.7 / (1 + 0.106)^3 + 1.7 / (1 + 0.106)^4 + 1.7 / (1 + 0.106)^5
NPV = -1.81 million
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