The multiplier for a futures contract on a stock market index is $250. The maturity of the contract is three months, and the current level of the index is 3,350. The risk-free interest rate is 0.4% per month. The dividend yield on the index is 0.1% per month. Suppose that after one month, the stock index is at 3,280.
1. Find the cash flow from the mark-to-market proceeds on the contract. Assume that the parity condition always holds exactly.
2. Find the one-month holding-period return if the initial margin on the contract is $15,500.
next full steps, thx!!!
Solution:
Spot Price = 3,350
F = Spot price * (1+r−q) ^t
Interest rate per month = 0.4%
Dividend yield per month = 0.1%
F = 3350 * ( 1+ 0.4%-0.1%)^3 = $3380.24
Part A )
Stock index after one month = 3280
Now 2 month will be remained in the maturity of the contract hence
Future price = 3280 * (( 1+ 0.4%-0.1%)^2 = 3299.71
Cash flow = 3299.71 - 3380.24 = -80.53
Total cash flow = -80.53 * 250 = -20,132.8
Part B )
1- month holding period return = Cash flow / Initial margin= -20132.8 / 15500 = -129.89%
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