Binomial Model Variables |
|
U |
1.15 |
D |
0.90 |
Index price |
PKR720 |
Strike price |
PKR750 |
Hedge ratio |
0.5697 |
Interest rate |
3% |
Calculate the price investor paid two years ago for call option with strike price of PKR750 using the binomial valuation method and the data above.
Standard Inputs :
S= Stock price = PKR 720
E = Exercise price = PKR750
U =1.15
D = 0.9
US = 1.15 * 720 = 828
DS = 720*0.9 = 648
U^2S = 1.15*1.15*720 = 952.2
UDS = 1.15*720*0.9 = 745.20
D^2S = 720*0.9*0.9 = 583.2
R = ( 1 + risk free rate ) = 1.03
Risk neutral probability = ( R - D) / ( U -D)
= ( 1.03 - 0.9) / ( 1.15 - 0.9) = P = 0.52
1 - P = 1 - 0.52 = 0.48
payoff from call option = Maxx [ Stock orice - exercise price ,0 ]
payoff in upmove = 952.2 - 750 = 202.20
payoff in down move = 0
Expected payoff = 0.52 * 202.20 + 0.42 *0 = 105.14
Value of call option In year 1 = 105.14 /1.03 = 102.08
expected payoff in year 1 = 102.08 *0.52 + 0.48 * 0 = 53.08
value of calloption 2 years ago = 53.08 /1.03 = 51.54
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