Metallica Bearings, Inc., is a young start-up company. No dividends will be paid on the stock over the next 13 years because the firm needs to plow back its earnings to fuel growth. The company will pay a dividend of $13 per share 14 years from today and will increase the dividend by 5 percent per year thereafter.
If the required return on this stock is 12 percent, what is the current share price?
Calculation of Current share price:
Year | Cash flow (1) | Discount rate @12% (2) | Discounted Cash flows (3) (1*2) |
1 | 13 | 1/1.12= 0.893 | 11.609 |
2 | 13 | 1/(1.12)^2=0.797 | 10.361 |
3 | 13 | 1/(1.12)^3=0.712 | 9.256 |
4 | 13 | 1/(1.12)^4=0.635 | 8.255 |
5 | 13 | 1/(1.12)^5=0.567 | 7.371 |
6 | 13 | 1/(1.12)^6=0.506 | 6.578 |
7 | 13 | 1/(1.12)^7=0.452 | 5.876 |
8 | 13 | 1/(1.12)^8=0.404 | 5.252 |
9 | 13 | 1/(1.12)^9=0.361 | 4.693 |
10 | 13 | 1/(1.12)^10=0.322 | 4.186 |
11 | 13 | 1/(1.12)^11=0.287 | 3.731 |
12 | 13 | 1/(1.12)^12=0.256 | 3.328 |
13 | 13 | 1/(1.12)^13=0.229 | 2.977 |
14 | 13 | 1/(1.12)^14=0.205 | 2.665 |
14 | 195 (Note) | 1/(1.12)^14=0.205 | 39.975 |
Current share price | 126.113 |
Current share price = 126.113
Note:
Calculation of price 14th year:
P14 = D15/Ke-g
D15 = D14+growth
D14 = 13
Growth rate (g) = 5%
Required rate of return (ke) = 12%
D15 = 13+13*5%
= 13+0.65
= 13.65
D15 = 13.65
P14 = 13.65/12%-5%
= 13.65/7%
= 195
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