Hooper Chemical Company, a major chemical firm that uses such
raw materials as carbon and petroleum as part of its production
process, is examining a plastics firm to add to its operations.
Before the acquisition, the normal expected outcomes for the firm
were as follows:
Outcomes ($ millions) |
Probability |
|||||
Recession | $ | 20 | .2 | |||
Normal economy | 30 | .2 | ||||
Strong economy | 50 | .6 | ||||
Compute the expected value, standard deviation, and coefficient
of variation prior to the acquisition. (Do not round
intermediate calculations. Enter your dollar answers in millions
rounded to 2 decimal places (e.g., $12,300,000 should be entered as
"12.30"). Round the coefficient of variation to 3 decimal
places.)
Hooper | |||||
Scenario | Probability | Outcome | =Outcome * probability | Actual outcome -expected outcome | (A)^2* probability |
Recession | 0.2 | 20 | 4 | -20 | 0.008 |
Normal | 0.2 | 30 | 6 | -10 | 0.002 |
Strong | 0.6 | 50 | 30 | 10 | 0.006 |
Expected value= | sum of weighted outcome = | 40 | Sum=Variance Hooper= | 0.016 | |
Standard deviation of Hooper% | =(Variance)^(1/2) | 12.65 | |||
Coefficient of variation= | Std. dev./expected outcome= | 0.3163 |
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