A company is expecting its sales to decline and has announced that it will be reducing its annual dividend by 7.25% a year for the next two years. After that, it will maintain a constant dividend of $1.00 a share. Just recently, the company paid a dividend of $3.10 per share. What is this stock worth if you require a 11.25% rate of return?
The company paid a dividend of $3.10 per share at year 0
At year 1 , dividend paid = 3.1 * (100 - 7.25)% = 3.1*0.9275 = 2.875
At year 2 , dividend paid = 2.875* (100 - 7.25)% = 2.875*0.9275 = 2.667
Acc to dividend growth model , Terminal value at end of year 2 = Dividend at year 3 / (Required rate of return - constant growth rate)
= 1 / (11.25% - 0) .... ( Since growth rate is constant it is Zero)
= 8.889
The intrinsic value of the stock is calculated in the table below:
(The PV factor is 1/ (1+ 0.1125)^n , where n is the year )
Year | Cash flow(CF) | Present Value factor(PV) | CF*PV |
1 | 2.875 | 0.899 | 2.584 |
2 | 2.667 | 0.808 | 2.155 |
2 (Terminal Value) | 8.889 | 0.808 | 7.182 |
Total = | 11.921 |
Hence, this stock is worth $ 11.921 at present
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