Consider the following information: |
Rate of Return if State Occurs | |||
State of Economy | Probability of State of Economy | Stock A | Stock B |
Recession | 0.10 | 0.04 | -0.20 |
Normal | 0.50 | 0.07 | 0.12 |
Boom | 0.40 | 0.15 | 0.31 |
Required: |
(a) |
Calculate the expected return for Stock A. (Do not round your intermediate calculations.) |
(Click to select)9.90%8.19%11.64%10.37%9.05% |
(b) |
Calculate the expected return for Stock B. (Do not round your intermediate calculations.) |
(Click to select)16.40%7.67%18.22%15.58%17.06% |
(c) |
Calculate the standard deviation for Stock A. (Do not round your intermediate calculations.) |
(Click to select)4.25%3.01%4.47%4.04%4.42% |
(d) |
Calculate the standard deviation for Stock B. (Do not round your intermediate calculations.) |
(Click to select)15.08%10.66%16.84%14.33%15.68% |
a ) Option , 9.9%
Expected return for Stock A = 9.9% [ (0.1*0.04)+ (0.5*0.07)+(0.4*0.15) = 0.099 or 9.9%]
b) Option , 16.40%
Expected return for Stock A = 16.4% [ (0.1*-0.2)+ (0.5*0.12)+(0.4*0.31)= 0.164or 16.4%]
c) Option , 4.25%
Condition | Probability | Return | (Expected return - Return)^2 | [ a*b] |
(a) | (b) | |||
Recession | 0.10 | 0.04 | 0.003481 | 0.000348 |
Normal | 0.50 | 0.07 | 0.000841 | 0.000421 |
Boom | 0.40 | 0.15 | 0.002601 | 0.001040 |
Variance | 0.001809 | |||
Standard deviation (variance^1/2) | 0.0425 |
d) Option 15.08%
Condition | Probability | Return | (Expected return - Return)^2 | [ a*b] |
(a) | (b) | |||
Strong | 0.10 | -0.20 | 0.132496 | 0.013250 |
Normal | 0.50 | 0.12 | 0.001936 | 0.000968 |
Weak | 0.40 | 0.31 | 0.021316 | 0.008526 |
Variance | 0.022744 | |||
Standard deviation (variance^1/2) | 0.1508 |
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