You have an investment opportunity with the following normally distributed risk & return characteristics:
Mean/Expected Return: 11.5%
Standard Deviation: 7.5%
What is the likelihood the investment will return more than 19%?
Probability the investment will return more than 19% = 1 - probability the investment will return less than 19%
Probability the investment will return less than 19% is calculated using NORMDIST function in Excel :
x = 19%
mean = 11.5%
standard_dev = 7.5%
cumulative = TRUE
Probability the investment will return less than 19% is 81.13%
Probability the investment will return more than 19% = 1 - probability the investment will return less than 19%
Probability the investment will return more than 19% = 1 - 81.13%
Probability the investment will return more than 19% = 15.87%
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