Assume that the real interest rate is 2%, the default risk premium is 3%, the liquidity premium is 1%, and the maturity risk premium is 1% per year. Additionally, the expected inflation rate is 2% next year, 5% the year after, and 3% from then on. What are the nominal interest rates for: a) (5 pts) 1-year note? b) (5 pts) 5-year bond? c) (5 pts) Does this produce an inverted yield curve? Why or why not?
Nominal interest rates for |
a)1-year note |
Nominal interest rate=Real interest rate+Inflation Rate(next Year)+Default risk premium +Liquidity premium+maturity risk premium |
2%+2%+3%+1%+1%= |
9% |
b)5-year bond: |
Nominal interest rate=Real interest rate+Av.Inflation Rate(for 5 years)+Default risk premium +Liquidity premium+maturity risk premium |
2%+((2%+5%+3%+3%+3%)/5)+3%+1%+1%= |
10.2% |
c. YES. |
As the yield/return required on the 1-year note,ie. with a comparatively shorter duration is higher than the yield/return on 5-year bond that has a longer duration. |
As when the yield curve is normal, the short-term securities yield less than the long-term bonds, as the investors are satisfied with lower returns as the tied-up period is short.Higher returns are required only for long-term investments. |
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