Mondi is currently selling for R50. In a year’s time, the price could increase by 10% or fall by 5%. The interest rate is 1% .Calculate the current price of a European call option on the stock with an exercise price of R48.
HIgh Price = 55
Low Price = 47.50
r = 0.01
t = 1
U = High Price / Current Price = 55 / 50 = 1.1
D = Low Price / Current Price = 47.50 / 50 = 0.95
Probability of U = e^r*t - D / U -D
= e^(0.01*1) - 0.95 / 1.1 - 0.95
= 0.40
Payoff at U = Max (High Price - Strike Price,0)
= Max (55 - 48, 0)
= 7
Payoff at D = Max (Lower - Strike Price,0)
= Max (47.50 - 48, 0)
= 0
Price of the call Option = e^(-r*t) * (probability of U * Payoff at U + (1- probability of U) * Payoff at D)
= e^(-0.01*1) * (0.40 * 7 + (1-0.40) 0)
= $2.77
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