The current futures price of a stock is $15 per share. One month later, when the futures option expires, the futures price could have risen to $16.5 per share or declined to $14 per share. The strike price is $14.5. The risk-free rate is 6%.
(1 mark)
Given
Current Price of the Stock = 15$ per share
Tenure of the option = 1 month
Upper movement of price in future(u) = (16.5-15)/15 = 0.1
Downward movement of price in future (d) = (15-14)/15 = 0.067
Strike Price (K) = 14.5 $
Risk Free Rate(r) = 6%
Under Direct Formula Method
fo = {[(fu-fd) + e^(-rt)*(ufd-dfu)] / (u-d)}
fu = payoff from the option contract if the price goes up = upper price-Strike price= 16.5-14.5 = 2$
fd = payoff from the option contract if the price goes down = 0$
Since it is call option, it will be executed only when the price goes up, therefore payoff will be when price goes up.
The value of option = {[(2-0) + e^(-0.06*1/12)*((0.10*0 - 0.067*2))]/(0.10-0.067)}
= [2 + (0.9950)*(-0.134)]/0.033
= 1.86667/0.033
= 56.5658$
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