The Blinkelman Corporation has just announced that it plans to introduce a new solar panel that will greatly reduce the cost of solar energy. As a result, analysts now expect the company’s earnings, currently (year 0) $1.00 per share to grow by 50 percent per year for the next three years, by 25 percent per year for the following 3 years, and by 9 percent per year thereafter. Blinkelman does not currently pay a dividend, but it expects to pay out 15 percent of its earnings beginning 2 years from now. The payout ratio is expected to become 35 percent in 5 years and to remain at that level. The company’s marginal tax rate is 40 percent. If you require a 17 percent rate of return on a stock such as this, how much would you be willing to pay for it today? Use Table II to answer the question. Round your answer to the nearest cent.
Statement shwoing Value of stock today
Year | Earnings | DPS | PVIF @ 17% | PV | ||
A | B | A x B | ||||
1 | 1 x 1.5 = | 1.50 | 0.8547 | 0.00 | ||
2 | 1.50 x 1.5 = | 2.25 | 2.25 x 15% = | 0.34 | 0.7305 | 0.25 |
3 | 2.25 x 1.5 = | 3.38 | 3.38 x 15% = | 0.51 | 0.6244 | 0.32 |
4 | 3.38 x 1.25 = | 4.22 | 4.22 x 15% = | 0.63 | 0.5337 | 0.34 |
5 | 4.22 x 1.25 = | 5.27 | 5.27 x 35% = | 1.85 | 0.4561 | 0.84 |
6 | 5.27 x 1.25 = | 6.59 | 6.59 x 35% = | 2.31 | 0.3898 | 0.90 |
Horizon Value | 89.81 | 89.81 x 35% = | 31.43 | 0.3898 | 12.25 | |
Price per share | 14.90 |
Thus Value of Stock today = $ 14.90
Note:
Horizon Value = EPS for year 7 / Required rate of retun - growth
rate
required rate of return = 17%
Growth rate = 9%
EPS for year 7 = EPS for year 6(1+ growth rate)
EPS for year 7 = 6.59(1+9%)
= 6.59(1.09)
= 7.185
Thus Horizon Value = 7.185/17%-9%
=7.185/8%
= 89.81 $
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