Shack Homebuilders Limited is evaluating a new promotional
campaign that could increase home sales. Possible outcomes and
probabilities of the outcomes are shown
next.
Possible Outcomes | Additional Sales in Units |
Probabilities | ||||
Ineffective campaign | 70 | .20 | ||||
Normal response | 80 | .20 | ||||
Extremely effective | 150 | .60 | ||||
Compute the coefficient of variation. (Do not round
intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 3
decimal places.)
Expected sales=Respective sales*Respective probability
=(0.2*70)+(0.2*80)+(0.6*150)=120 units
probability | Sales | probability*(Sales-Expected sales)^2 |
0.2 | 70 | 0.2*(70-120)^2=500 |
0.2 | 80 | 0.2*(80-120)^2=320 |
0.6 | 150 | 0.6*(150-120)^2=540 |
Total=1360 units. |
Standard deviation=[Total probability*(Sales-Expected sales)^2/Total probability]^(1/2)
=(1360)^(1/2)
=36.878 units(Approx).
Coefficient of variation=Standard deviation/Expected Sales
=(36.878/120)
=0.307(Approx).
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