Diversified Industries, Inc. forecasts that its free cash flow in the coming year, i.e., at t = 1, will be -$18 million (negative), but its FCF at t = 2 will be $33 million. After Year 2, FCF is expected to grow at a constant rate of 4% forever. If the weighted average cost of capital is 15%, what is the firm's value of operations, in millions? Enter your answer rounded to two decimal places. Do not enter $ or comma in the answer box. For example, if your answer is $12,300.456 then enter as 12300.46 in the answer box.
Sol:
Total value of the firm is PV of cash flows plus Horizon value
Year | Cash Flows (in millions) | PV factor @15% | Discounted cash flows (PV) (in millions) |
1 | -18 | 0.8696 | -15.65 |
2 | 33 | 0.7561 | 24.95 |
3 | 312 | 0.7561 | 235.92 |
Total value of the firm | 245.22 |
FCF in year 2 = 33 million
WACC = 15%
Growth rate (r) = 4%
Horizon value (HV) = FCF in year 2 x (1+r) / (WACC - r)
Horizon value (HV) = 33 million x (1+4%) / (15% - 4%)
Horizon value (HV) = 33 million x (1+0.04) / (0.15 - 0.04)
Horizon value (HV) = 33 million x 1.04 / (0.11)
Horizon value (HV) = 34.32 / 0.11
Horizon value (HV) = 312 million
Therefore total value of the firm is $245.22 million.
Workings
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