A company currently pays a dividend of $3 per share (D0 = $3). It is estimated that the company's dividend will grow at a rate of 25% per year for the next 2 years, and then at a constant rate of 8% thereafter. The company's stock has a beta of 1.6, the risk-free rate is 8%, and the market risk premium is 4%. What is your estimate of the stock's current price? Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to the nearest cent.
first let us know the required rate of return using CAPM;
risk free rate + beta *(market risk premium)
=>8%+ 1.60*(4%)
=>14.40%.
PV factor formula = 1/(1+r)^n
r=14.40%=>0.1440.
year | cash flow | PV factor @14.40% | cash flow *PV factor |
1 | $3+25%=>$3.75 | 1/(1.144)^1=>0.874126 | ($3.75*0.874126)=>$3.2779725 |
2 | $3.75+25%=>$4.6875 | 1/(1.144)^2=>0.764096 | ($4.6875*0.764096)=>$3.5817 |
2 | (see note)$79.1015625 | 1/(1.144)^2=>0.764096 | ($79.1015625*0.764096)=>$60.4411875 |
Current price | $67.30 |
note;
horizon value at end of year 2 = dividend of year 2*(1+growth rate) / (required return - growth rate)
=>$4.6875*(1+0.08) / (0.144-0.08)
=>5.0625/0.064
=>$79.1015625
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