Chapter 7
You are considering making a movie. The movie is expected to cost $ 10.3 million upfront and take a year to make. After that, it is expected to make $ 4.6 million in the first year it is released (end of year 2) and $ 2.2 million for the following four years (end of years 3 through 6) . What is the payback period of this investment? If you require a payback period of two years, will you make the movie? Does the movie have positive NPV if the cost of capital is 10.7 %?
What is the payback period of this investment?
The payback period is ____years.
Lets make a table with the cashflows of the movie.
Time Period | T0 | T1 | T2 | T3 | T4 | T5 | T6 |
Cashflows | -10.3 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
From the above information, cumulative cashflows till Year 4 is 4.6+2.2+2.2=9. Remaining cashflow needed for covering the investment is 10.3-9= 1.3. It can be revovered in 5th year, in 1.3/2.2= 59.1% of the year.
So, Payback period is 4+0.591= 4.591 Years.
If we require a payback period of two years, we should not make this movie.
Calculating NPV with cost of capital of 10.7%, we get -10.3+4.6/1.107^2+2.2/1.107^3+2.2/1.107^4+2.2/1.107^5+2.2/1.107^6= -0.94
So, the movie has negative NPV, if the cost of capital is 10.7%
Payback period is 4.591 Years.
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