Question

Interest rates on 4-year Treasury securities are currently 6.9%, while 6-year Treasury securities yield 7.8%. The...

Interest rates on 4-year Treasury securities are currently 6.9%, while 6-year Treasury securities yield 7.8%. The data has been collected in the Microsoft Excel Online file below. Open the spreadsheet and perform the required analysis to answer the question below.

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If the pure expectations theory is correct, what does the market believe that 2-year securities will be yielding 4 years from now? Calculate the yield using a geometric average. Do not round your intermediate calculations. Round your answer to two decimal places.

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Homework Answers

Answer #1

(1+yield on n-year security)n*(1+yield on r-year security after n-years)r = (1+yield on r+n year-security)r+n

n-year security is the 4-year Treasury security and r-year security is the 2-year security.

(1+0.069)4*(1+yield on r-year security after n-years)2 = (1+0.078)2+4

1.0694*(1+yield on r-year security after n-years)2 = 1.0786

(1+yield on r-year security after n-years)2 = 1.0786/1.0694 = 1.569323814085808704/1.305902703121 = 1.2017157253256723684379981281186

(1+yield on r-year security after n-years) = 1.20171572532567236843799812811861/2 = 1.20171572532567236843799812811860.5 = 1.0962

yield on 2-year security after 4-years = 1.0962- 1 = 0.962 or 9.62%

the market believes that 2-year securities will be 9.62% yielding 4 years from now.

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