Question 2 (1 point)
Calculate the expected standard deviation on stock:
State of the economy | Probability of the states | Percentage returns | |
---|---|---|---|
Economic recession | 21% | 2% | |
Steady economic growth | 30% | 9% | |
Boom | Please calculate it | 11% |
Round the answers to two decimal places in percentage form
First we find expected rate of return
Convert all probabilities to point form by dividing it by 100.
Probability of boom=100-30-21=49%=0.49
Expected rate of return=sum of (percentage returns*probability of states)=2%*0.21+9%*.3+11%*.49=8.51%
Now let's find variance, since standard deviation is square root of variance
Variance=sum of (((rate of return-expected return)^2)*corresponding probability)
=((2-8.51)^2)*0.21 + ((9-8.51)^2)*.3 + ((11-8.51)^2)*.49
=8.899 + 0.07203 + 3.038
=12.009%
Therefore standard deviation=√12.009=3.46%
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