Year 1 2 3 4
Free Cash Flow $24 million $36 million $44 million $48 million
Conundrum Mining is expected to generate the above free cash flows over the next four years, after which they are expected to grow at a rate of 4% per year. If the weighted average cost of capital is 15% and Conundrum has cash of $80 million, debt of $60 million, and 30 million shares outstanding, what is Conundrum's expected current share price?
$18.06 |
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$17.62 |
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$12.80 |
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$13.71 |
The price per share is computed as shown below:
= FCF1 / (1 + WACC) + FCF 2 / (1 + WACC)2 + FCF3 / (1 + WACC)3 + FCF4 / (1 + WACC)4 + 1 / (1 + WACC)4 [ ( FCF in year 4 (1 + growth rate) / (WACC - growth rate) ]
= $ 24 million / 1.15 + $ 36 million / 1.152 + $ 44 million / 1.153 + $ 48 million / 1.154 + 1 / 1.154 [ ( $ 48 million x 1.04) / ( 0.15 - 0.04) ]
= $ 24 million / 1.15 + $ 36 million / 1.152 + $ 44 million / 1.153 + $ 48 million / 1.154 + $ 453.8181818 million / 1.154
= $ 363.9376256 million
So, the value per share will be computed as follows:
= ($ 363.9376256 million + cash - debt) / Number of shares
= ($ 363.9376256 million + $ 80 million - $ 60 million) / 30 million shares
= $ 12.80 Approximately
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