Question 1.)
One-year Treasury securities yield 4.55%. The market anticipates that 1 year from now, 1-year Treasury securities will yield 5.7%. If the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the yield today for 2-year Treasury securities? Calculate the yield using a geometric average. Do not round your intermediate calculations. Round your answer to two decimal places.
Question 2.)
A Treasury bond that matures in 10 years has a yield of 5.25%. A 10-year corporate bond has a yield of 8.5%. Assume that the liquidity premium on the corporate bond is 0.75%. What is the default risk premium on the corporate bond? Round your answer to two decimal places.
Question 3.)
You read in The Wall Street Journal that 30-day T-bills are currently yielding 5.7%. Your brother-in-law, a broker at Safe and Sound Securities, has given you the following estimates of current interest rate premiums:
Inflation premium = 3.25%
Liquidity premium = 0.7%
Maturity risk premium = 1.7%
Default risk premium = 2.45%
On the basis of these data, what is the real risk-free rate of return? Round your answer to two decimal places.
Question 4.)
The real risk-free rate is 3%. Inflation is expected to be 1.75% this year and 4.75% during the next 2 years. Assume that the maturity risk premium is zero.
What is the yield on 2-year Treasury securities? Do not round
intermediate calculations. Round your answer to two decimal
places.
%
What is the yield on 3-year Treasury securities? Do not round
intermediate calculations. Round your answer to two decimal
places.
%
1) As per pure expectation theory, future rates are nothing but a representation of future short term rate of interest.
Thus, (1+r2,0)^2 = (1+r1,0)^1 * (1+r1,1)^1
(1+r2,0)^2 = (1+0.0455)^1 * (1+0.057)^1
(1+r2,0)^2 = 1.1051
r2,0 = 0.0512 = 5.12%
2) Corporate Bond Yield = T-Bond Yield + Liquidity Premium + Default Risk Premium
8.50% = 5.25% + 0.75% +DRP
DRP = 2.55%
3)short Term T-Bill Yield = real risk free rate of return + Inflation Premiun
5.70% = real risk free rate of return + 3.25%
real risk free rate of return = 2.45%
4) Using the formula: r = r* + IP + MRP
Yield on long term treasury security = real risk-free rate + Average Inflation premium per annum + Maturity risk premium
For 2-years: Yield on treasury security = 3% + ((1.75%+4.75%)/2) + 0 = 6.25%
For 3-years: Yield on treasury security = 3% + ((1.75%+4.75%+4.75%)/3) + 0 = 6.75%
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