TLP corporation had operating cash flow of $3.20 per share last year, and has 1.5 million shares outstanding. Operating cash flows are expected to grow by 4% per year in the long run, i.e. forever. To attain this growth, TLP will need to make new capital expenditures in an amount equal to 40% of each year’s operating cash flow. TLP also has existing liabilities with a market value of $3 million.
(a) If TLP has no other assets, and a discount rate of 13% per year is appropriate, what is the fair market value of a share of TLP stock?
(b) Assume now that TLP has just made a breakthrough in biomedical engineering. The new project will require an immediate capital expenditure of $2.5 million, plus another $3.2 million outlay after one year. At the end of the second year the project will generate positive cash flow of $1.6 million. Subsequent cash flows from the project will grow by 4% per year in perpetuity. Given that TLP has made this breakthrough, and still assuming a 13% discount rate, what is the fair market value of a share of TLP stock?
THE TOTAL CASH FLOW FOR A SHARE IS = 3.2
THE AMOUNT OF CAPITAL EXPENDITURE = 3.2*40%
= 1.28
= NET CASH FLOW = 1.92
NOW VALUE OF EQUITY AS PER FREE CASH FLOW FOR EQUITY APPROACH
VALUE OF EQUITY = CASH FLOW AFTER 1 YEAR/R-G
WHERE R IS DISCOUNT RATE AND G IS THE CONSTANT GROWTH RATE
= 1.92*1.04/13%-4%
=22.18
LESS VALUE OF LIABILITY PER SHARE = 3/1.5=2
= 22.18-2
= 20.18
NOW SECOND PART
WE SHALL CALCULATE THE NET PRESENT VALUE OF THE NEW PROJECT
TOTAL PRESENT VALUE OF CASH OUTLAY = 2.5 + 3.2/1.13
= 5.33
NOW TOTAL PRESENT VALUE OF FUTURE CASH FLOWS = 1.6/(1.13)2 + 1.6(1.04)*PVIF(13%,3)/ 13% - 4%
= 1.253 + 12.813
= 14.06
CASH FLOWS AFTER THIRD YEAR HAS BEEN CALCULATED USING PERPETUITY WITH GROWTH
NOW NET PRESENT VALUE = 14.06- 5.33
= 8.73 MILLION
NOW VALUE ADDED PER SHARE = 8.73/1.5
= 5.82 PER SHARE
NEW VALUE = 20.18+ 5.82
= $ 26 PER SHARE
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