A stock price is currently $50. Over each of the next two three-month periods it is expected to go up by 8% with a probability of 50% or down by 4% with a probability of 50%. The risk-free interest rate is 4% per annum with continuous compounding. What is the value of a six-month European call option with a strike price of $50? Use binomial tree method to solve this problem.
Answer- Shown the two period binomial tree in the image attached, rest solution is typed here only
Current market price on expiry |
Exercise price | Option premium on expiry (CMP-EP) | Probability | Expected Opyion premium on expiry |
58.32 | 50 | 8.32 | 0.50*0.50 | 2.08 |
51.84 | 50 | 1.84 | 0.50*0.50 | 0.46 |
51.84 | 50 | 1.84 | 0.50*0.50 | 0.46 |
46.08 | 50 | 0 | 0.50*0.50 | 0 |
Total | 3 |
Value of six month call option= 3*e-0.04*6/12
Solving above as e=2.71828, we get value of call option = 2.94
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